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Friday, October 16, 2015

KPRC 2 releases results of Mayoral Race & Houston Equal Rights Ordinance Poll

The poll was commissioned by SurveyUSA exclusively on behalf of KPRC2

In advance of KPRC2’s Houston Mayoral Debate being held on October 16th and the Mayoral election on November 3rd, the station is releasing the results of a poll commissioned by SurveyUSA exclusively on behalf of KPRC2.

Among the key findings, Sylvester Turner garnered the most support with 20% of the vote. Four other candidates, including Bill King (14%) and Adrian Garcia (13%), are in the running to advance to a runoff election in December.

In addition, regarding Houston’s Proposition One, The Houston Equal Rights Ordinance, the result is too close to call with 20% of likely voters still undecided.

The summary of results from SurveyUSA is here:

In an election for Houston Mayor today, 10/15/2015, 19 days until votes are counted, no candidate approaches the majority required to win the seat outright and avoid a runoff, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPRC-TV in Houston.

Today, State Representative Sylvester Turner finishes just ahead of the rest of the pack of 13 candidates with 20% of the vote; attorney Bill King gets 14%, neck-and-neck with former Harris County Sheriff Adrian Garcia at 13%, former US Representative Chris Bell with 12%, and City Councilmember Stephen Costello at 11%. Two other named candidates are in single digits; 3% would vote for one of the other candidates on the ballot; 22% today are undecided.

Turner leads by 6:1 among African Americans and is strong among older voters and Democrats. King is strong among those most concerned with the city budget. Garcia leads by more than 2:1 among Hispanics and edges out Turner among those voters who say city taxes and fees will be the most important issue in determining their vote for mayor.

25% of likely voters identify the economy and jobs as the most important issue in this election, and Costello leads among those voters. 17% say the city budget is the most important issue; King holds a significant lead among those voters. The 15% of voters who say the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance is most important split their support between Turner and Bell.

Voting on Houston's Proposition One, the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance, is too close to call at this hour. Today, 45% of likely voters would vote yes on the ballot measure; 36% vote no. 20% of voters are undecided. Younger voters, whites, blacks, and Democrats support; Republicans, independents, and Hispanics oppose; older voters are divided.

The questions posed to likely voters and the results are as follows:

In the election for mayor of Houston, how do you vote? (Candidates rotated) Ben Hall? Sylvester Turner? Adrian Garcia? Bill King? Marty McVey? Steve Costello? Chris Bell? Or some other candidate? (504 likely voters)

Ben Hall 4%
Sylvester Turner 20%
Adrian Garcia 13%
Bill King 14%
Marty McVey 1%
Steve Costello 11%
Chris Bell 12%
Other 3%
Undecided 22%
*Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%

Houston voters will also vote on Proposition 1, the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance. On Proposition 1, do you vote yes? Do you vote no? Or are you not certain? (504 likely voters)

Yes 45%
No 36%
Not Certain 20%
*Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%
*Percentages have been rounded

SurveyUSA Filtering: 675 Houston adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/12/15 through 10/14/15. Of the adults, 567 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 504 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/15 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (61% of
likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (39% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic

A link with the composition of likely voters surveyed will be released by SurveyUSA on Friday, October 16th.

The seven candidates in the KPRC2/SurveyUSA poll will have a chance to reach the more than 20% of undecided voters on issues like HERO and more during KPRC Channel 2, Telemundo Houston, and the League of Women Voters of Houston’s "Decision 2015: Houston Mayoral
Debate" on Friday, October 16 at 7 p.m.

The live event happening just three days before the start of early voting is being held at Houston Baptist University's Linda and Archie Dunham Theater located at 7502 Fondren Road, Houston, TX 77074. It will be carried live on KPRC2, and

(This post is taken from a release sent to me by KPRC 2)

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